Showing posts with label Ito Lemma. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ito Lemma. Show all posts

Friday, September 6, 2013

Thoughts about Ito Lemma and Black Scholes Model

ito lemma is a very lengthy formula. To highlight the key points as the following:

1. Remember bivariate Taylor expansion
2. Remember (dS)^2=b^2*dt
3. Remember (dWt)^2=dt

the Black Scholes formula says that the price of an option, before discounting, equals the expected value of receiving the stock in the event of exercise (F*N[d1]) minus the cost of paying the strike price in the event of exercise (K*N[d2]).

So you can think of N[d2] as the probability of exercise (that is, paying the strike price), and N[d1] a measure how far in the money the option is expected to be if it does expire in the money, roughly speaking. 

N(d2) 是执行概率
N(d1) 是moneyness的深度