ito lemma is a very lengthy formula. To highlight the key points as the following:
1. Remember bivariate Taylor expansion
2. Remember (dS)^2=b^2*dt
3. Remember (dWt)^2=dt
the Black Scholes
formula says that the price of an option, before discounting, equals the
expected value of receiving the stock in the event of exercise
(F*N[d1]) minus the cost of paying the strike price in the event of
exercise (K*N[d2]).
So you can think of N[d2] as the probability of
exercise (that is, paying the strike price), and N[d1] a measure how far
in the money the option is expected to be if it does expire in the
money, roughly speaking.
N(d2) 是执行概率
N(d1) 是moneyness的深度
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